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The Lumenary
Shahada ya kwanza (juu)Probability & StatisticsImepangwa

Markov chains

Discrete-time Markov chains: transition matrices, classification of states, stationary distributions, convergence to equilibrium, hitting times and random walks.

math.prob.markov-chains

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Masharti ya awali ya lazima 42 (hadi chini kabisa)

Utajifunza

  • Model processes with transition matrices and compute n-step transition probabilities.
  • Classify states as recurrent or transient and find stationary distributions.
  • Prove convergence to equilibrium for irreducible aperiodic finite chains.

Fasili

  • A Markov chain is a sequence of random variables in which the conditional distribution of the next state, given the past, depends only on the current state.
  • A probability distribution π (as a row vector) is stationary for transition matrix P if πP = π.
  • A chain is irreducible if every state can be reached from every other state.

Nadharia

  • An irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space has a unique stationary distribution.
  • If it is also aperiodic, the distribution at time n converges to the stationary distribution from any starting distribution.
  • Pólya: simple random walk is recurrent on ℤ and ℤ² and transient on ℤ³.

Mawazo potofu ya kawaida

  • Reading 'memoryless' as 'forgets everything'; it means the future depends on the past only through the present.

Inaelekea kwa

Ugunduzi wa hiari

  • Mathematical biology Stochastic models of populations and of genetic drift, such as the Wright–Fisher model, are Markov chains.

Usomaji zaidi

  • J. R. Norris, Markov Chains (1997)